Hurricane Irene has weakened slightly over the past 12 hours now with sustained winds of 105 MPH with gusts to 125 MPH. Irene is forecast to make landfall on the outer banks of North Carolina as a powerful Category 2 Hurricane. I believe some strengthening is possible if Irene can complete her eye wall and mix out some of the dry air that has been entrained in the system from the Continental U.S. After landfall in North Carolina Irene is forecast to once again emerge over water near the Virginia coastlines before making a beeline for a second landfall near Long Island. Irene has a large wind field of approximately 500 miles in diameter. As such her storm surge would be equal to a Category 3 or low end Category 4 upon landfall in North Carolina. The Outer Banks and Pamlico sound should bear the brunt of the storm surge, with Long Island and the northeast getting a second dose of her fury. It should be noted as well that a large area from North Carolina to the New England states will receive rainfall in excess of 8 inches. All interests in the affected area should not take Irene lightly and should heed evacuation orders from local authorities! Thanks for stopping by!!!
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