Thursday, September 8, 2011

Katia, Maria, Nate!!!

Good Afternoon,

Today's update briefly discusses Hurricane Katia which is a Category 1 hurricane and is moving north between Bermuda and the U.S. Katia is no threat to any landmass at this time and should continue her re-curve back into the open Atlantic,
Tropical Storm Maria has weakened significantly since yesterday partly due to shear and also partly due to her fast forward speed of 20 to 22 knots. Her center is completely exposed and devoid of convection. A downgrade is possible today after the hurricane hunters investigate, and its a possibility that she may be degenerating into an open wave. Her strength will greatly influence her eventual track. She should continue to the west or west-northwest over the next couple of days affecting the northern Leeward Islands and then Puerto Rico and Hispaniola. Thereafter the central and northern Bahamas should monitor her progress as it is likely that they would be the next affected. Maria could pose a threat to the eastern seaboard, however a re-curve looks more likely at this time.
Finally Tropical Storm Nate is located in the Bay of Campeche moving little over the past few hours. Nate has been struggling with moderate shear and very dry air keeping him on the weak side for the short term. Lee should slowly start a northward drift over the next several days likely impacting the northern gulf coast later next week. Models differ significantly from a track into Mexico, to a track towards the upper Texas coastlines and into Louisiana. Several factors will come into play to determine the final track of Nate and it is much too early to forecast that exact point. All interests in the Gulf of Mexico should closely monitor Nate's progress.
Thanks for stopping by!!!




Thanks,

Forecaster Mansfield

Xtreme Weather Tracker

Wednesday, September 7, 2011

Hurricane Katia, Tropical Storm Maria, Nate Soon!!!

Good Morning,

Hurricane Katia is currently located southwest of Bermuda moving to the northwest at 9 MPH. Katia is a Category 1 hurricane on the Saffir Simpson Wind Scale with maximum sustained winds of 85 MPH. Katia is currently slowing down to make her northward turn between the Outer Banks of North Carolina and the island of Bermuda. Bermuda as well as the eastern seaboard could experience gusty winds, large swells, and rip currents. Other than this the impacts to any land areas should be minimal.
Newly named Tropical Storm Maria is located in the central Atlantic and is moving westward at a fast clip of 23 MPH. Maria has maximum sustained winds of 50 MPH. Maria looks rather disorganized on satellite but should strengthen slowly over the next few days. Maria is forecast to move to the west or west-northwest around the periphery of the Azores High moving toward the Leeward Islands and Puerto Rico this weekend. Those two areas could see hurricane force conditions later this weekend as Maria makes her approach. There is a possibility that Maria stays weak and enters the Caribbean as the Euro model has stubbornly depicted. Time will tell!!
Finally, there is an area of disturbed weather located in the Bay of Campeche dubbed 96L west of the Yucatan Peninsula that is slowly becoming better organized. None of the reliable models show significant development; however slow development is possible over the next few days. The main hindrance to development of 96L is dry air in the Gulf of Mexico. If development occurs models differ on track from taking 96L into central Mexico, to moving it northward toward the Louisiana coastline. This area will have to be watched carefully over the next several days as the Gulf of Mexico's water temperatures are bath water warm and shear is forecast to be moderate to light. The NHC has tasked a Hurricane Hunter aircraft to investigate the system this afternoon.
Thanks for stopping by!!!




Thanks,

Jeremy

Xtreme Weather Tracker

Tuesday, September 6, 2011

Hurricane Katia, Maria and Nate Soon!!!

Good Afternoon,

In today's update we will analyze Hurricane Katia which is currently a Category 3 hurricane with sustained winds of 115 MPH. Katia is moving to the northwest at about 9 MPH and should start to move in a more northerly direction over the next couple of days. Thereafter she is expected to turn more to the northeast and re-curve between the Outer Banks of North Carolina and Bermuda. Her impacts should be limited to gusty winds, a few outer band squalls and higher than normal surf and dangerous rip currents along the eastern seaboard and Bermuda.
Secondly, we discuss the homegrown tropical trouble that i mentioned in the last update in the Bay of Campeche that has recently been dubbed Invest 96L. This system could possible form from the leftovers from TS Lee combined with a frontal boundary that pushed into the Gulf of Mexico over the weekend. Slow development of this system is possible and it should drift to the north-northeast over time possibly impacting the central or eastern Gulf Coast in 5 days or so. Once again high pressure will block moisture from reaching into Texas to remedy the drought conditions that have been so persistent over the summer.
Third we will delve into the specifics of 95L which will be classified later today as Tropical Depression #14. TD# 14 should move west-northwest and become Tropical Storm Maria over the next several days. It is then forecast to move very close to the Leeward Islands or possibly into the Caribbean over the next several days. Models are disagreeing somewhat on the eventual track with the more prominent Euro model keeping the system week and moving it into the Caribbean later this week. Time will tell!!
Last, a small area of showers and thunderstorms associated with a tropical wave is located just to the east of the Lesser Antilles islands moving to the west. Development chances are slim at this point, but this area should be monitored for development as it moves into the Caribbean later this week!!
Thanks for stopping by!!!





Thanks,

Jeremy Mansfield

Xtreme Weather Tracker

Monday, September 5, 2011

Hurricane Katia, Invest 95L and Homegrown Tropical Troubles!!!

Good Afternoon,

Today's update discusses Hurricane Katia and her potential track close to the east coast of the U.S. I also discuss newly designated Invest 95L located southwest of the Cape Verde Islands. Lastly, there are indications of homegrown tropical trouble in the Bay of Campeche west of the Yucatan Peninsula in the next 3 to 5 days from the remnants of Lee interacting with a cut-off frontal system in the Gulf of Mexico. Thanks for stopping by!!



Thanks,

Jeremy

Xtreme Weather Tracker

Saturday, September 3, 2011

Tropical Storm Lee Strengthens Near Landfall!!

Good Morning,

Quick update on TS Lee located 100 miles south of Lafayette, La. Lee has sustained winds of 60 MPH and should make landfall just west of the Achafalaya Bay later this afternoon. Thereafter Lee is forecast to move slowly northward into central Louisiana before turning more to the northeast in 3 to 4 days. Currently SE Texas is receiving light to moderate rainfall and gusty northeast winds from Lee!! Thanks for stopping by!!



Thanks,

Jeremy Mansfield

Xtreme Weather Tracker

Friday, September 2, 2011

Tropical Storm Lee to Soak Louisiana!!!

Good Afternoon,

Tropical Storm Lee formed this afternoon from Depression #13. As of 1 PM Lee had sustained winds of 40 MPH with higher gusts. Lee is currently wobbling to the northwest at 4 MPH. Steering currents should remain relatively light over the next couple of days and Lee should slowly meander to the north or northwest and finally make landfall on the coast of Louisiana somewhere between Lake Charles and Morgan City although my confidence in this forecast is low at best. The models are struggling with Lee's final outcome with some keeping him offshore through Tuesday to others looping Lee in the Gulf of Mexico and a couple of models taking Lee southwest into Brownsville. Parts of SE Louisiana could receive over a foot of rainfall over the next five days, while drought stricken Texas may not even see an inch of rain as it should remain on the western side of the circulation or "clean" side of the storm. Updates will follow as conditions are likely to remain uncertain in the future! Hurricane Katia is located northwest of the Leeward Islands moving west-northwestward at 15 MPH. Katia is forecast to move close to the SE coast of the US next week. While it is too early to forecast what Katia's impacts on the SE will be it is safe to say that Katia will need to be closely watched over the next few days!!! One more area of interest off the east coast of the US could possibly become a tropical storm over the next few hours. If a storm does form it will pose no threat to any land areas and it is interesting to note that if Maria does form today we will have tied 2005 as Hurricane Maria formed on September 2, 2005!! If this trend continues we could rival 2005 which was the most active hurricane season on record with 28 named storms!!! Thanks for stopping by!!!





Thanks,

Jeremy Mansfield

Xtreme Weather Tracker

Wednesday, August 31, 2011

Gulf Development Likely!!!

Good Afternoon,

Over the next several days we will be watching for development of Tropical Storm Lee in the NW Gulf of Mexico. An old frontal boundary combined with a tropical wave moving northwest out of the Caribbean should combine to form low pressure in the Central Gulf of Mexico. All indications are at this time that the low will move northwestward toward the upper Texas coastline and stall for a couple of days as steering currents are forecast to remain weak. Any stalling or meandering system in the warm Gulf water temps (88 degrees) could spell trouble and it is possible that a hurricane could form just off the Texas, Louisiana coastlines before getting pulled northward by a shortwave trough swinging through the northeast. At the very least SE Texas and SW Louisiana should expect enhanced rainfall chances and possible drought busting drenching tropical moisture to invade the area Thursday thru Monday. Tropical Storm Katia is located in the central Atlantic and should become a hurricane in 24 to 36 hours. Thereafter she is forecast to move north of the Leeward Islands as a major hurricane and could threaten Bermuda. While it is still too early to forecast whether or not Katia will impact the US it is looking more likely that a re-curve near Bermuda is the more likely scenario. Keep checking back for more updates. Thanks for stopping by!!




Thanks,

Jeremy Mansfield

Xtreme Weather Tracker

Monday, August 29, 2011

TD #12 & Rain on the Way for Texas!!!

Good Afternoon,

We are monitoring TD #12 in the far eastern Atlantic just southwest of the Cape Verde Islands. TD #12 is forecast to become Tropical Storm Katia in the next 24 to 36 hours. After a trek across the Atlantic in a west-northwesterly fashion TD # 12 could possible again threaten the SE U.S. Models vary on eventual track with some re-curving east of Bermuda. We also have some homegrown tropical trouble to discuss. An area of disturbed weather coupled with a trough split could develop in the western Gulf of Mexico toward the end of this week bringing at least much needed rainfall for Texas. The National Weather Service has issued a special weather statement for SE Texas and SW Louisiana stating that a widespread area of 2 to 3 inches of rainfall is expected with some areas receiving up to 7 inches of rainfall starting Thursday through Sunday of this week. Thanks for stopping by!!!



Thanks,

Jeremy Mansfield

Xtreme Weather Tracker

Saturday, August 27, 2011

Hurricane Irene Makes Landfall Near Cape Lookout, NC!!

Good Morning,

Hurricane Irene has made landfall this morning near Morehead City, NC as a Category 1 hurricane with sustained winds of 90 MPH with higher gusts. Irene is bringing flooding rain, heavy winds, and storm surge to parts of North Carolina. Irene is forecast to move off to the north-northeast over the next 24 hours emerging over water near Virginia Beach, Virginia. Irene will then head northeast raking the New Jersey shore and making a second landfall near Long Island around 8 A.M. Sunday. Irene is forecast to bring 4-8 feet of storm surge to portions of the coast from Virginia Beach to Long Island. All interests in these areas should heed the warnings of local officials and evacuate if necessary. Thanks for stopping by!!!



Thanks,

Jeremy Mansfield

Xtreme Weather Tracker

Friday, August 26, 2011

Hurricane Irene To Slam Outer Banks!!!

Good Morning,

Hurricane Irene has weakened slightly over the past 12 hours now with sustained winds of 105 MPH with gusts to 125 MPH. Irene is forecast to make landfall on the outer banks of North Carolina as a powerful Category 2 Hurricane. I believe some strengthening is possible if Irene can complete her eye wall and mix out some of the dry air that has been entrained in the system from the Continental U.S. After landfall in North Carolina Irene is forecast to once again emerge over water near the Virginia coastlines before making a beeline for a second landfall near Long Island. Irene has a large wind field of approximately 500 miles in diameter. As such her storm surge would be equal to a Category 3 or low end Category 4 upon landfall in North Carolina. The Outer Banks and Pamlico sound should bear the brunt of the storm surge, with Long Island and the northeast getting a second dose of her fury. It should be noted as well that a large area from North Carolina to the New England states will receive rainfall in excess of 8 inches. All interests in the affected area should not take Irene lightly and should heed evacuation orders from local authorities! Thanks for stopping by!!!




Thanks,

Jeremy Mansfield

Xtreme Weather Tracker

Thursday, August 25, 2011

Hurricane Irene Heads for North Carolina!!!

Good Morning,

Today's update discusses Hurricane Irene which is a Category 3 on the Saffir Simpson Scale. Irene is currently bashing the northern Bahamas with heavy rain and fierce winds. Irene has made the turn more to the north-northwest over the last several hours. She should continue in a northerly direction while continuing to strengthen as she makes her approach to the Outer Banks of North Carolina. Thereafter she is forecasted to make landfall once again in the New England states as a Category 2 hurricane. Irene could be an historic hurricane bringing possibly billions of dollars of damage to the eastern seaboard. All interests in these affected areas should closely monitor statements from the National Hurricane Center as well as local authorities should evacuations in your area become necessary!! Remember property can be replaced LIVES cannot!!!
Thanks for stopping by!!!





Thanks,

Jeremy Mansfield

Xtreme Weather Tracker

Wednesday, August 24, 2011

Hurricane Irene to Impact the Northeast!!!

Good Afternoon,

Today's update discusses Hurricane Irene which is a CAT 3 hurricane with sustained winds of 115 MPH with higher gusts. Irene is currently pounding the Bahamas with heavy rain and fierce winds. Irene should pass near or just east of the island of Providence which is home to the city of Nassau. Nassau is home to approximately 70% of the total population of the Bahamas. Irene should then take a more northwesterly course possible making landfall in North Carolina near the Outer Banks and Pamlico Sound. Thereafter the models are in disagreement with a track ranging from offshore to a devastating course up the New England coastlines. Thanks for stopping by!!!



Thanks,

Jeremy Mansfield

Xtreme Weather Tracker

Tuesday, August 23, 2011

Hurricane Irene, Potentially Catastrophic!!!

Good Afternoon,

Hurricane Irene has remained her intensity of 100 MPH winds with higher gusts. She is currently located just north of Hispaniola moving west-northwest at 12 MPH. Irene is forecast to move through the Bahamas becoming a major hurricane, possible a CAT 4 before making landfall near the Outer Banks of North Carolina. A bit of uncertainty still exists withing the model consensus, with some models taking Irene just offshore while others rake the entire eastern seaboard. The latter track would potentially be catastrophic with flooding and wind damage throughout much of the northeast. All interests from eastern Florida, and along the eastern seaboard should closely monitor the progress of this system. Thanks for stopping by!!!



Thanks,

Jeremy Mansfield

Xtreme Weather Tracker

Monday, August 22, 2011

Hurricane Irene!!!

Good Afternoon,

Hurricane Irene formed late yesterday near Puerto Rico. Irene has sustained wind-speeds of 80 MPH with higher gusts. Irene is forecast to brush the northern coast of Hispaniola before making a turn more to the northwest and impacting the Bahamas. Thereafter the models continue to differ in opinion between a landfall from eastern Florida to the North Carolina coastlines. All interests in these areas should be vigilant and prepared!! The eventual track of this storm will affect many areas, as the windfield of Irene is and will continue to be quite large with tropical storm force winds extending 160 miles or so from the center!! Thanks for stopping by!!



Thanks,

Jeremy Mansfield

Xtreme Weather Tracker

Sunday, August 21, 2011

Tropical Storm Irene!!!

Good Afternoon,

Today's update discusses TS Irene which is located east of Puerto Rico as a 50 MPH tropical storm. Irene is slowly strengthening over the last few hours and now has a central pressure of 999MB indicating that the wind speeds should start to increase as well over the next several hours. Puerto Rico should be prepared to experience possible hurricane conditions over the next 24 to 36 hours as Irene's center moves over the island. Irene should continue in a west northwest direction over the next couple of days before a weakness or trough starts her turning more northwestward and eventually to the north impacting the SE U.S. All interests from Florida to North Carolina should monitor the progress of this potentially dangerous storm!! Thanks for stopping by!!!



Thanks,

Jeremy Mansfield

Xtreme Weather Tracker

Saturday, August 20, 2011

Invest 97L To Impact the U.S.

Good Evening,

Today's update discusses TS Harvey which made landfall on the coast of Belize this afternoon, and also Invest 97L which should impact the U.S. sometime late next week. Thanks for stopping by!!!



Thanks,

Jeremy Mansfield

Xtreme Weather Tracker

Friday, August 19, 2011

Tropical Storm Harvey!!!

Good Evening,

Tropical Storm Harvey was named this evening located just north of the Honduras coastline. Today's update discusses TS Harvey, as well as Invests 97L, 98L, and 99L. Invest 97L looks like if it develops it will indeed be a threat to the southeastern U.S. or the eastern Gulf of Mexico late next week. All interests in these areas should monitor this evolving situation closely!!! Thanks for stopping by!!!



Thanks,

Jeremy Mansfield

Xtreme Weather Tracker

Thursday, August 18, 2011

Invest 93L & Invest 97L

Good Morning,

Today's update discusses Invest 93L as well as newly dubbed Invest 97L in the central Atlantic. Both of these areas of disturbed weather have the potential to become named tropical systems over the next several days. The next two names on the list are Harvey and Irene. Invest 93L should only be a issue for interests in Central America; however Invest 97L could be a threat to the central Gulf of Mexico and/or the southeast coast of the U.S. toward the end of next week. All residents in these areas should keep a close eye on development of this system should it impact your area. Thanks for stopping by!!!



Thanks,

Jeremy Mansfield

Xtreme Weather Tracker

Wednesday, August 17, 2011

Possible U.S. Landfall Next Week!!!

Good Afternoon,

Todays update anylyzes Invest 93L and also a well defined tropical wave in the Eastern Atlantic which the models indicate could become our first hurricane landfall on the US. If this scenario materializes and the system strengthens to a hurricane it would be the first US hurricane landfall since Hurricane Ike of 2008. Thanks for stopping by!!!



Thanks,

Jeremy Mansfield

Xtreme Weather Tracker

Tuesday, August 16, 2011

Tropical Trouble in the Making!!!

Good Morning,

Todays update discusses Invest 93L as well as a well-defined wave that exited Africa a couple of days ago. If 93L remains weak it should only be a problem for Central America in a few days; however if it strengthens significantly it could follow a weakness forecast to be over the central Gulf of Mexico and be steered by mid to upper level winds and move into the Gulf of Mexico possibly impacting the US. If the models scenario's play out for the wave in the Eastern Atlantic we could be experiencing our first hurricane strike of the season on the US. While it is still too early to pinpoint a landfall, what this pattern indicates is that it is only a matter of time before environmental conditions and timing converge and a hurricane makes landfall on the US. Thanks for stopping by!!!




Thanks,

Jeremy Mansfield

Xtreme Weather Tracker

Monday, August 15, 2011

TS Gert and Invest 93L

Good Afternoon,

Todays update discusses TS Gert and Invest 93L which could threated the Gulf of Mexico in a few days. Thanks for stopping by!!!





Thanks,

Jeremy Mansfield

Xtreme Weather Tracker

Friday, August 12, 2011

Four Invest's to Watch!!!

Good Afternoon,

The tropics remain very active across the Atlantic Basin here in early August. Todays update discusses 92L, 93L, 94L, and 95L and their possible track, intensity and imacts on the US mainland. 93L needs to be closely monitored as it will have the best probability of impacting any landmasses in the coming days ahead. I also would like to mention a pattern that may be forming as indicated by the global forecasting models that would break down the Texas high pressure system, thus opening up the Gulf of Mexico for a landfalling tropical system toward the end of August through September. Thanks for stopping by!!!




Thanks,


Jeremy Mansfield


Xtreme Weather Tracker

Wednesday, August 10, 2011

Tropical Triple Play!!!

Good Afternoon,

Todays update discusses the newest Invest 92L as well as several other features worth watching over the next several days. The Cape Verde season is upon us and we should start to see the season ramping up to its peak around September 10. We still have the majority of the season before us and I expect several named systems in the coming days and weeks ahead. Thanks for stopping by!!!




Thanks,

Jeremy Mansfield

Xtreme Weather Tracker

Friday, August 5, 2011

TS Emily Dissipated, Could Reform!!!

Good Morning,

Tropical Storm Emily dissipated Thursday evening over Hispaniola's mountainous terrain. Some models suggest Emily will strengthen once again over the warm waters near the Bahama's, but at this point that seems unlikely as the low level feature is well displaced from the mid level feature and main body of convection. Today's update analyzes Emily and her future, as well as turning our attention eastward to Africa where several impressive waves are poised to enter the Atlantic with development possible within a few days. The Cape Verde season is on the horizon and we should be making all last minute hurricane preparations in the event an organized tropical system should make landfall on the US. Thanks for visiting www.xtremeweathertracker.com, I sincerely hope this blog is as informative for the followers as it is enjoyable for me to create. Thanks for your continued support and interest.




Thanks,

Jeremy Mansfield

Xtreme Weather Tracker

Thursday, August 4, 2011

TS Emily Undecided!!!

Good Morning,

At the present hour TS Emily is nearly stationary just to the south of Hispaniola. Today's update discusses further track and intensity of Emily and whether or not she survives the trek over the mountainous terrain of the islands of Hispaniola and Cuba. Thanks for stopping by!!! See you again soon!!!



Thanks,

Jeremy Mansfield

Xtreme Weather Tracker

Wednesday, August 3, 2011

TS Emily Weakening!!!!

Good Afternoon,

Todays update discusses TS Emily and her weakening condition due to wind shear and dry air being entrained in the circulation. I also discuss future intensity as Emily will be encountering Haiti and Cuba over the next several days, as well as future track which is trending more westward due to the lack of organization and Emily being steered more by lower level winds of the atmosphere. Thanks for stopping by!!

Tuesday, August 2, 2011

Tropical Storm Emily Better Organized!!!!

Good Afternoon,

Todays update discusses TS Emily and her recent strengthening and becoming better organized. NOTE: (I also adjusted the volume levels on the videos, hopefully you guys can hear me a little better let me know if its better!!) Thanks for stopping by!!!





Thanks,

Jeremy Mansfield

Xtreme Weather Tracker

Monday, August 1, 2011

Tropical Storm Emily!!!!

Good Evening,

Todays video discusses newly formed Tropical Storm Emily (FYI at the time of making this update Emily had yet to tbe classified). I also discuss its future track and intensity in detail. Thanks for stopping by!!!









Jeremy Mansfield

Xtreme Weather Tracker

Saturday, July 30, 2011

Don is Dead, Emily Soon!!!!

Hey folks,

The new update today discusses Don's demise and an new system on the horizon!!!
The link to the website is www.xtremeweathertracker.com!!!!




Thanks,

Jeremy Mansfield

Xtreme Weather Tracker

Friday, July 29, 2011

TS Don and Invest 91L

Hey Folks,

We now have a domain name it is www.xtremweathertracker.com Hope you guys are enjoying the updates. You can view all of the graphics that i put in the videos now on the website along with updates from the NHC. Todays update discusses TS Don and a new area called Invest 91L. Thanks for stopping by!!!



Thanks,

Jeremy Mansfield

Xtreme Weather Tracker

Thursday, July 28, 2011

TS Don Eyes South Texas Coastline!!!!

Good Evening,

TS Don, against all odds is strengthening this evening over the southern Gulf of Mexico. Hurricane Hunters are currently investigating this system and i saw a surface wind report of 73 MPH which is near hurricane strength. This could be labeled as only a gust. The official wind with Don is still near 45 MPH. Some additional strengthening is possible as Don nears the South Texas Coastline, with landfall in the vicinity of Corpus Christi. Check out the latest video.




Thanks,

Mansfield

Xtreme Weather Tracker

Tropical Storm Don Remains Weak!!!

Good Afternoon,

Tropical Storm Don remains a weak tropical storm, although some strengthening is forecast. His final track is still uncertain at this time. Todays video discusses Don and his future forecast and track and also mentions a threat we may have to deal with down the road a bit. Thanks for stopping by!!!



Thanks,

Jeremy Mansfield

Xtreme Weather Tracker

Wednesday, July 27, 2011

Tropical Storm Don

Good Evening Folks,

We now have a tropical storm in the Gulf of Mexico that could possible impact our area in a few days. Check out the latest update here!!!



Thanks,

Mansfield

Xtreme Weather Tracker

Look Out Southeast Texas!!!!

Good Afternoon,

Check out todays update and stay prepared if Tropical Weather heads our way. Todays update dicusses the depression forming near the Yucatin Peninsula in the Southern Gulf of Mexico and its track toward the Texas Coastline!!!





Thanks,

Jeremy Mansfield

Xtreme Weather Tracker

Tuesday, July 26, 2011

Gulf Development Likely!!!

Hello Folks,

We all need to pay careful attention to whats going on in the Gulf of Mexico in the coming few days. Todays update discusses Invest 90L and its impending development and possible affect on SE Texas in a few days.




Thanks,

Mansfield

Xtreme Weather Tracker

Saturday, July 23, 2011

Gulf Development Possible!!!

Hey Folks,

Thanks for visiting, today we discuss possible tropical troubles next week in the Gulf of Mexico.




Thanks

Mansfield

Xtreme Weather Tracker

Thursday, July 21, 2011

Tropical Weather Update!!!!

Good Afternoon,

I apologize for not blogging sooner, but i have been working an emergency job in Citgo refinery in Sulphur, La. Todays update discusses Brett, Cindy, Dora and a new tropical wave that could threaten the US mainland in the upcoming days. I will try to update more regularly as the season is about to get busy. Thanks for visiting.







Mansfield

Xtreme Weather Tracker

Tuesday, July 12, 2011

Backyard Tropical Troubles!!!

Hey Folks,

Check out the new tropical weather discussion about the Atlantic Basin, Carribean and the Gulf of Mexico, and also looks at possible tropical mischief close to home.



Thanks,

Mansfield

Xtreme Weather Tracker

Monday, July 11, 2011

Tropical Trouble Spots!!!!

Hi Folks,

Check out the new tropical weather update!!!



Thanks,

Mansfield

Xtreme Weather Tracker

Friday, July 8, 2011

Cape Verde Season Around the Corner!!!!

Hi Folks,

The new tropical weather update is available. Today i discuss an interesting tropical wave near the Cape Verde Islands. We are very near the Cape Verde Season. Keep checking back for more updates!!!




Thanks,

Mansfield & Dalton

Xtreme Weather Tracker

Thursday, July 7, 2011

Tropics Becoming Active!!!

Mornin' Folks,

The tropics are becoming active again and we'll have to watch a few features over the next several days. Check out the latest tropical update here!!!!




Thanks,

Mansfield & Dalton

Xtreme Weather Tracker

Wednesday, July 6, 2011

Tropics Quiet For Now!!!!!

Hi Folks,

Ready to tackle the tropics once again, back from vacation and well rested. Hope you all had a great 4th of July with lots of fun with family. The tropics remain quiet at this time with possible trouble down the road a bit. I analyze all that in todays tropical video update.






Hope you enjoyed it!! See you again soon!!!

Thanks,

Mansfield & Dalton

Xtreme Weather Tracker

Tuesday, June 28, 2011

Tropical Storm Arlene Forms!!!!

Good Evening,

Our first tropical storm of the 2011 hurricane season has formed in the Bay of Campeche this evening at 8 PM. Check out this video to see all the latest information on TS Arlene.




Thanks,

Mansfield & Dalton

Xtreme Weather Tracker

Arlene Almost a Reality!!!

Latest Tropical Weather Update!!!
Keep checking back for the latest!!!





Mansfield & Dalton

Xtreme Weather Tracker

Monday, June 27, 2011

Tropical Development Likely!!!

Good Afternoon,

Check out the latest tropical weather video!!!




Thanks,

Mansfield & Dalton

Xtreme Weather Tracker

Saturday, June 25, 2011

Tropical Development Still Possible!!!!

Hey Folks,

Check out the latest tropical weather video.





Thanks,

Mansfield & Dalton

Xtreme Weather Tracker

Thursday, June 23, 2011

Arlene Before Months End?????

Hi Guys,
Finally figured out how to embed the video on the blog. Thanks for checking out our site. Keep checking back we will update soon.

Thanks,

Mansfield & Dalton

Monday, June 20, 2011

RAIN On The Way!!!!!

Good Evening,

Tropical moisture is on tap for our area for the next 3 days, check out the latest Tropical Weather Update Here at our channel on YouTube!!!!
Thanks,

Jeremy Mansfield
Brittany Dalton

Xtreme Weather Tracker

Friday, June 17, 2011

Tropical Update

Hey guys, Click here to see the updated tropical forecast! We could see some much needed rain later next week. We will keep you posted!

Xtreme Weather Tracker Mansfield & Dalton











Monday, June 13, 2011

Atlantic Update: The Schematics of a Hurricane

Good Afternoon,

Check out the latest Tropical Weather Video!!!!

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=kmc0VKnJuzY

Keep checking back for more updates as the season progresses!!!
Thanks,

Jeremy Mansfield
Brittany Dalton

Xtreme Weather Tracker

Friday, June 10, 2011

Atlantic To Become Active Soon!!!!

Good Afternoon,

The Tropical Atlantic, while quiet for now should become more active in the next couple of weeks. Check out this video forecast for the 2011 Hurricane Season.

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=H1_yrjiBwt0

Keep checking back for more updates as the season progresses. We will continually monitor the tropics here at Xtreme Weather Tracker.

Thanks,

Jeremy Mansfield
Brittany Dalton

Xtreme Weather Tracker

Thursday, June 9, 2011

Special Feature: Hurricane Adrian

Good Afternoon,

Check out the latest Tropical Video featuring Pacific Hurricane Adrian.

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=jySdRKinK8A

The Atlantic Basin, The Caribbean, and the Gulf of Mexico remain quiet at this time and should remain so for the next 7 to 10 days. We could see the tropics become more active toward the end of the month. Keep checking back for more updates.

Thanks,

Jeremy Mansfield
Brittany Dalton

Xtreme Weather Tracker

Wednesday, June 8, 2011

Tropics Quiet For Now Video Update!!

Good Morning,

Check out the lastest Tropical Weather Video on YouTube.

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7zfLb3SwLbI

This is a new feature so if you enjoy it comment in the comments section or on our YouTube Channel. We will be updating again soon so keep checking back. You can also become a follower of the page by clicking on the right side of the blog. Thanks for reading our blog and your kind comments. See you soon!!!

Thanks,

Mansfield & Dalton

Xtreme Weather Tracker

Tuesday, June 7, 2011

Video Update on Weakening Caribbean System

Hey guys,
                This is a new feature we are trying out on our website. Just click on the link below and you can watch our tropical weather update on YouTube. This is our first one, so please let us know in the comments if you like this new feature! We will get better, I promise! Remember keep checking back to Xtreme Weather Tracker for all the latest tropical weather information!





Thursday, June 2, 2011

Invest 93 Weakening & Watching the Caribbean for Possible Development

Hey guys,
               Invest 93 has made it in to the Gulf of Mexico after crossing Florida yesterday evening but has weakened significantly. The area of low pressure is still somewhat intact and the National Hurricane Center gives it a 10% chance of becoming a tropical cyclone in 48 hours. I don't think we will see any more development of this system before it reaches land, probably in deep south Texas or northern Mexico. We will continue to watch this system and keep you updated.
               The next area of concern is located in the west central Caribbean. This is a broad area of low pressure that is producing heavy rain and thunderstorms that extend for several hundred miles south of the southern coast of Hispaniola. The system is currently experiencing strong upper-level winds but these winds should relax over the next couple of days. This low has about a 20% chance of becoming a tropical storm within the next 48 hours according to the National Hurricane Center but after that time conditions should improve and we should start seeing some strengthening. The Hurricane Hunters are scheduled to fly in to this system Saturday around noon and we will have more information then. We will contine watching the tropics and bring you the latest information here at Xtreme Weather Tracker.


Xtreme Weather Tracker Mansfield & Dalton



Wednesday, June 1, 2011

New Player Sneaks On to the Field - Trouble in the Tropics

Good Afternoon,

        The 2011 Hurricane Season officially starts today and on cue a new tropical system has slipped through the back door and is worthy of consideration in the coming days. A low pressure system developed late Tuesday, just east of Florida and is now crossing the Florida Peninsula bringing heavy rains and gusty winds to the area. The National Hurricane Center has designated this area as "INVEST 93L", which simply means that this is an area of interest worthy of collecting data, running models, and investigating with Hurricane Hunter aircraft. Current model data suggest that "IF" the system can survive crossing the Florida Peninsula that this could be a rainmaker for the Gulf Coast and possibly southeast Texas later this weekend. This system should not develop into a major storm as conditions are only marginally favorable for development in the Gulf of Mexico, however conditions should improve as the week progresses. Current model tracks are clustered around a landfall in the Galveston Bay area, however these models do not yet have a good handle on the system as it is small and disorganized. The Hurricane Hunter Aircraft is scheduled to fly into this system around noon on Thursday to investigate. All interests in the Gulf of Mexico should keep an eye on this developing system.
        The second area of interest and the area we have been discussing of late, is located in the southwest Caribbean. A cluster of showers and thunderstorms are rotating around a low pressure center located south of Cuba. A tropical wave is also moving into the area to further enhance moisture across the area. All reliable forecast models suggest development of this system in 7 to 10 days. The track of the system is highly uncertain at this point since their are too many variables in place and steering winds remain weak across the Caribbean. We will continue to monitor both evolving systems in the coming days here at Xtreme Weather Tracker.

Xtreme Weather Tracker Mansfield & Dalton


















Tuesday, May 31, 2011

First Possible Development of 2011 Currently in the Caribbean

Hey guys,
                  Tomorrow is the official start of the 2011 Hurricane Season and we already have an area in the Caribbean to watch this week. Relaxing wind shear and above normal sea surface temperatures along with a weakening La Nina are the cause for this years early start. We should see less named storms this year than last year but more of the storms will form in the Caribbean, meaning a larger portion of the storms could affect US landmasses than the years previous.
                 The first storm to organize and become of tropical strength will be named Arlene. Our first area to watch is currently located in the Southwestern Caribbean. At this point it is only a broad area of shower and thunderstorms but could first be enhanced by a weak tropical wave moving from the east. The disturbed area could bring over a foot of heavy rain to Haiti and other islands in the northern Caribbean in days ahead. All of the computer models predict that an area of low pressure will form in the region between Jamaica and Honduras by Thursday. This low will have the potential to develop into a tropical depression late this week. We will be watching this area closely over the next several days and keep you updated here at Xtreme Weather Tracker!


Xtreme Weather Trackers Mansfield & Dalton



Satellite images show a broad area of thunderstorms in the Southwestern Caribbean. Strong tropical wave moving east is expected to join with the area of disturbed weather later in the week and this area could become our first tropical low.












Saturday, May 28, 2011

2011 Hurricane Season to Be Active!!!!!

Good Afternoon,

        With the 2011 Hurricane season two days away, we are back to start reporting to you all the latest weather information! First, we will start with the 2011 Hurricane prediction recently released by NOAA. On May 19, 2011, the Climate Prediction Center issued NOAA's outlook for the Atlantic hurricane season. The CPC expected that 12–18 named storms, 6–10 hurricanes, and 3–6 major hurricanes would form in the Atlantic during 2011. The center cited above-normal sea surface temperatures, a weakening La NiƱa, and the effect of the warm regime of the Atlantic multidecadal oscillation as the bases behind their forecast, adding that seasonal climate models hint that "activity comparable to some of the active seasons since 1995" could occur.
         With what seems to be a very active season in the making, we will be constantly monitering the Atlantic, Carribean and the Gulf of Mexico and keep you updated here at Xtreme Weather Tracker.


Here are the current Sea Surface Temperatures for the Atlantic Basin. As you can see we are experiencing above normal temperatures for this early in the year. The Carribean is especially warm with water temps around 85 degrees. This is the breeding ground for tropical cyclones early in the season and some models hint of possible slow development in about 2 weeks.

Thanks,

Xtreme Weather Trackers Mansfield & Dalton