Wednesday, August 31, 2011

Gulf Development Likely!!!

Good Afternoon,

Over the next several days we will be watching for development of Tropical Storm Lee in the NW Gulf of Mexico. An old frontal boundary combined with a tropical wave moving northwest out of the Caribbean should combine to form low pressure in the Central Gulf of Mexico. All indications are at this time that the low will move northwestward toward the upper Texas coastline and stall for a couple of days as steering currents are forecast to remain weak. Any stalling or meandering system in the warm Gulf water temps (88 degrees) could spell trouble and it is possible that a hurricane could form just off the Texas, Louisiana coastlines before getting pulled northward by a shortwave trough swinging through the northeast. At the very least SE Texas and SW Louisiana should expect enhanced rainfall chances and possible drought busting drenching tropical moisture to invade the area Thursday thru Monday. Tropical Storm Katia is located in the central Atlantic and should become a hurricane in 24 to 36 hours. Thereafter she is forecast to move north of the Leeward Islands as a major hurricane and could threaten Bermuda. While it is still too early to forecast whether or not Katia will impact the US it is looking more likely that a re-curve near Bermuda is the more likely scenario. Keep checking back for more updates. Thanks for stopping by!!


Jeremy Mansfield

Xtreme Weather Tracker

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