Tropical Storm Lee formed this afternoon from Depression #13. As of 1 PM Lee had sustained winds of 40 MPH with higher gusts. Lee is currently wobbling to the northwest at 4 MPH. Steering currents should remain relatively light over the next couple of days and Lee should slowly meander to the north or northwest and finally make landfall on the coast of Louisiana somewhere between Lake Charles and Morgan City although my confidence in this forecast is low at best. The models are struggling with Lee's final outcome with some keeping him offshore through Tuesday to others looping Lee in the Gulf of Mexico and a couple of models taking Lee southwest into Brownsville. Parts of SE Louisiana could receive over a foot of rainfall over the next five days, while drought stricken Texas may not even see an inch of rain as it should remain on the western side of the circulation or "clean" side of the storm. Updates will follow as conditions are likely to remain uncertain in the future! Hurricane Katia is located northwest of the Leeward Islands moving west-northwestward at 15 MPH. Katia is forecast to move close to the SE coast of the US next week. While it is too early to forecast what Katia's impacts on the SE will be it is safe to say that Katia will need to be closely watched over the next few days!!! One more area of interest off the east coast of the US could possibly become a tropical storm over the next few hours. If a storm does form it will pose no threat to any land areas and it is interesting to note that if Maria does form today we will have tied 2005 as Hurricane Maria formed on September 2, 2005!! If this trend continues we could rival 2005 which was the most active hurricane season on record with 28 named storms!!! Thanks for stopping by!!!
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