Thursday, September 8, 2011

Katia, Maria, Nate!!!

Good Afternoon,

Today's update briefly discusses Hurricane Katia which is a Category 1 hurricane and is moving north between Bermuda and the U.S. Katia is no threat to any landmass at this time and should continue her re-curve back into the open Atlantic,
Tropical Storm Maria has weakened significantly since yesterday partly due to shear and also partly due to her fast forward speed of 20 to 22 knots. Her center is completely exposed and devoid of convection. A downgrade is possible today after the hurricane hunters investigate, and its a possibility that she may be degenerating into an open wave. Her strength will greatly influence her eventual track. She should continue to the west or west-northwest over the next couple of days affecting the northern Leeward Islands and then Puerto Rico and Hispaniola. Thereafter the central and northern Bahamas should monitor her progress as it is likely that they would be the next affected. Maria could pose a threat to the eastern seaboard, however a re-curve looks more likely at this time.
Finally Tropical Storm Nate is located in the Bay of Campeche moving little over the past few hours. Nate has been struggling with moderate shear and very dry air keeping him on the weak side for the short term. Lee should slowly start a northward drift over the next several days likely impacting the northern gulf coast later next week. Models differ significantly from a track into Mexico, to a track towards the upper Texas coastlines and into Louisiana. Several factors will come into play to determine the final track of Nate and it is much too early to forecast that exact point. All interests in the Gulf of Mexico should closely monitor Nate's progress.
Thanks for stopping by!!!


Forecaster Mansfield

Xtreme Weather Tracker

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